Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.049680 0.056814 0.064225 0.072468 0.081349 0.090602 0.100941
2025-04-06 0.039233 0.049768 0.061389 0.075012 0.090403 0.107122 0.126528
2025-04-13 0.030888 0.043079 0.057257 0.074621 0.094985 0.117815 0.145050
2025-04-20 0.027667 0.041565 0.058392 0.079662 0.105265 0.134582 0.170189
2025-04-27 0.022249 0.036464 0.054479 0.078049 0.107207 0.141326 0.183514
2025-05-04 0.019684 0.034640 0.054299 0.080704 0.114038 0.153656 0.203271
2025-05-11 0.016380 0.031325 0.051798 0.080099 0.116602 0.160699 0.216646
2025-05-18 0.014593 0.029922 0.051642 0.082354 0.122626 0.171875 0.234961
2025-05-25 0.012889 0.028399 0.051136 0.084002 0.127782 0.181937 0.251932
2025-06-01 0.010388 0.025241 0.048010 0.081862 0.127841 0.185519 0.260872
2025-06-08 0.008326 0.022467 0.045173 0.079881 0.127920 0.188986 0.269567
2025-06-15 0.007495 0.021743 0.045343 0.082072 0.133517 0.199453 0.287003
2025-06-22 0.006500 0.020661 0.045024 0.083760 0.138775 0.209961 0.305149
2025-06-29 0.005900 0.020283 0.045823 0.087137 0.146463 0.223801 0.327784
2025-07-06 0.004758 0.018533 0.044211 0.086827 0.149012 0.230949 0.341979
2025-07-13 0.004652 0.019071 0.046470 0.092393 0.159809 0.248997 0.370203
2025-07-20 0.003550 0.016996 0.044029 0.090626 0.160203 0.253273 0.380765
2025-07-27 0.003180 0.016658 0.044619 0.093543 0.167248 0.266408 0.402799
2025-08-03 0.002475 0.015194 0.043007 0.092879 0.169089 0.272556 0.415791
2025-08-10 0.002171 0.014805 0.043368 0.095355 0.175478 0.284846 0.436825
2025-08-17 0.001848 0.014246 0.043339 0.097162 0.180880 0.295815 0.456174
2025-08-24 0.001281 0.012555 0.040883 0.094814 0.180044 0.298209 0.464203
2025-08-31 0.000852 0.011055 0.038621 0.092640 0.179352 0.300723 0.472340